Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.467066 4.153991 4.921740 5.840520 6.907080 8.103019 9.542254
2025-06-29 2.419333 3.274627 4.333161 5.727688 7.503153 9.673537 12.511004
2025-07-06 1.801268 2.705423 3.924559 5.662498 8.045296 11.162254 15.505341
2025-07-13 1.513227 2.480170 3.879884 6.007303 9.101496 13.369626 19.616426
2025-07-20 1.264471 2.244490 3.757018 6.190515 9.917304 15.298535 23.510991
2025-07-27 1.101331 2.099906 3.731289 6.489981 10.907133 17.538629 28.022652
2025-08-03 0.917264 1.877943 3.537825 6.483766 11.406507 19.075307 31.608019
2025-08-10 0.735568 1.618883 3.233522 6.240015 11.478665 19.937412 34.208792
2025-08-17 0.595219 1.405661 2.969800 6.018398 11.543764 20.768316 36.796692
2025-08-24 0.507694 1.278650 2.841463 6.014309 11.968411 22.203450 40.448230
2025-08-31 0.437546 1.172772 2.734977 6.031634 12.423378 23.713611 44.320778
2025-09-07 0.372537 1.063382 2.602098 5.975960 12.730278 24.980932 47.858101
2025-09-14 0.297546 0.913345 2.360791 5.674883 12.551542 25.395740 49.993230
2025-09-21 0.253465 0.830541 2.253492 5.637824 12.882649 26.761909 53.922215
2025-09-28 0.216182 0.756060 2.151733 5.596879 13.197921 28.118695 57.926201
2025-10-05 0.204576 0.752232 2.219955 5.946084 14.355138 31.164167 65.261420
2025-10-12 0.185940 0.722376 2.217565 6.130261 15.177203 33.614576 71.627349
2025-10-19 0.174094 0.710924 2.260898 6.428039 16.272455 36.679658 79.356994
2025-10-26 0.151764 0.658399 2.184572 6.422155 16.690970 38.409428 84.594049
2025-11-02 0.124852 0.581085 2.024098 6.180536 16.546266 38.968870 87.548396
2025-11-09 0.103011 0.514540 1.880794 5.960812 16.425140 39.560289 90.592878
2025-11-16 0.090092 0.478284 1.821450 5.956765 16.815091 41.261802 95.997862
2025-11-23 0.079352 0.447243 1.772374 5.973948 17.257284 43.104646 101.801379